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Risks/Options/Variables: <br />The Proforma contains some risks and variables that are noteworthy. They include: <br />1. Construction estimates are tentative and subject to fmal design and competitive bidding. <br />2. Utility and labor costs may exceed estimates over the next two years. <br />3. Interest rates may climb prior to obtaining final financing. <br />4. Demand for class A& B office space may drop resulting in higher vacancy rates and <br />longer leasing time. <br />5. The amount of parking required/desired, including the 59 above ground spaces, and the <br />associated cost has not been fmalized. <br />6. Costs associated with remodeling of the Franklin Building and Courthouse have been <br />estimated but, aze not included as a Courthouse Square expense. <br />7. A change in the cost sharing formula between transit and the county could shift actual <br />expenses. (There are currently two formulas which are based on the original design). <br />8. A change in Salem's Streetscape funding could alter cost estimates to complete the <br />project. <br />9. Until such time as a private partner is selected to develop the north pad, the financial <br />impacts on the total project are unknown. Once SPOC gives iYs approval to the project, <br />an RFP could be issued. <br />10 Additional environmental cleanup costs may be incurred during the excavation phase. <br />Opportunities: <br />There are several options under consideration that can minimize risks noted above. In addition, <br />these options have the potential to reduce the service impact of the higher project rents. They <br />include: <br />1. The project contingency fund is $3.6 million. A reduction in the actual use of the project <br />contingency has the potendal to reduce the rental rate by up to $0.10 /sf or more. <br />Z. Profits generated from commercial leases in the Franklin Bldg. and Courthouse Square <br />could be used to offset assessments to county departments. <br />3. The ability to invest in quality and energy efficient building systems can reduce long term <br />maintenance costs. <br />The proforma represents a best guess estimate of expenses for a building which is at least two <br />years from occupancy and still must undergo detailed design review and construction bidding. It <br />does not take into account the benefits or impacts that private development of the north pad will <br />have on the project. Subject to the risks and variables noted above, we believe all relevant data <br />and costs have been identified. The county must rely on its consultants to constantly review and <br />update these projections as the project proceeds. <br />3 <br />